International students drive grad-school growth
A strong post-pandemic resurgence from abroad buoyed first-time enrollments in American graduate schools, even as the number of newly enrolled domestic graduate students declined in fall 2021.
Nearly one in four incoming graduate students last fall was a student-visa holder, according to the new enrollment data from the Council of Graduate Schools. The number of new international graduate students climbed 95 percent from the previous year, while the share of Americans starting graduate programs dipped 4 percent.
Overall, first-time enrollments increased by 9 percent between fall of 2020 and fall of 2021, the council reported.
The foreign-student rebound, particularly at the graduate level, has been reported, of course. The Open Doors report, the annual census of international students in the United States, released earlier this month, found that for the first time in a decade, there were more international graduate students than undergraduates from abroad at American colleges.
What struck me in the latest figures was the contrast between international students coming back to the United States, despite real obstacles, and slow to return to campuses of many Americans.
As always, one of the big questions about data that represent a snapshot in post-Covid time is how much of the growth can simply be chalked up to pent-up demand. International graduate enrollments were clawing back up from a pandemic low, having fallen 37 percent the previous year, according to the council.
Real-time student-visa data don’t break out visa issuances by academic level, so we can’t answer that question definitively. Still, I think we can be confident that international-graduate enrollments have continued to increase this fall. That’s because of robust growth in visas issued to students from India, which is predominantly a graduate-student market.
Much of the discussion about the potential enrollment cliff for American colleges has focused on undergraduates, but the longer-term trends at the graduate level are also worth watching. Certainly, the divergence in international- and domestic-graduate enrollments in fall of 2021 was outsized, but the council’s data shows that the number of American citizens and permanent residents enrolling in graduate school has been flat over the past decade, increasing by less than 1 percent, while the number of international students was up 3.1 percent.
If Americans’ interest in pursuing graduate education continues to level off, or even declines, could that leave graduate programs more reliant on international students, and if so, what are the implications? For one, international students tend to cluster in certain fields — more than 60 percent of new graduate students in mathematics and computer science last fall were from overseas, while half of those beginning graduate degrees in engineering were from abroad.
And while international students are a current bright spot, the precipitous drop in foreign enrollments during the pandemic are a reminder of how susceptible their presence can be to factors beyond colleges’ control — a list that includes consular closures; shifting government policy, at home or abroad; and, of course, global health crises.
Readers, I’ll be continuing to explore questions around international graduate-student trends in my reporting. I’m interested in what a potential acceleration of foreign-graduate enrollments means for student recruitment, for campus programming, and for the long-term talent pipeline. You can share your insights with me at karin.fischer@chronicle.com.